Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.075766 0.089929 0.105817 0.124933 0.147283 0.172559 0.203285
2025-03-16 0.053145 0.071060 0.093465 0.123426 0.162314 0.210943 0.276213
2025-03-23 0.041783 0.061349 0.087982 0.126626 0.180952 0.254246 0.360197
2025-03-30 0.033114 0.052631 0.081165 0.125484 0.192049 0.287632 0.434415
2025-04-06 0.026540 0.045253 0.074390 0.122431 0.198855 0.314663 0.501978
2025-04-13 0.021435 0.038974 0.067896 0.118229 0.202545 0.336604 0.563673
2025-04-20 0.018631 0.035886 0.065832 0.120509 0.216375 0.375368 0.655743
2025-04-27 0.016166 0.032875 0.063301 0.121400 0.227672 0.410931 0.746304
2025-05-04 0.014107 0.030203 0.060871 0.121947 0.238176 0.446007 0.839641
2025-05-11 0.012537 0.028177 0.059272 0.123683 0.250862 0.486051 0.945870
2025-05-18 0.011476 0.026988 0.059077 0.128019 0.268857 0.537486 1.078195
2025-05-25 0.009817 0.024195 0.055181 0.124298 0.270495 0.558276 1.154916
2025-06-01 0.008689 0.022421 0.053212 0.124438 0.280243 0.596369 1.270605
2025-06-08 0.007566 0.020442 0.050490 0.122558 0.285553 0.626328 1.373725
2025-06-15 0.006930 0.019534 0.050035 0.125653 0.301938 0.680635 1.532420
2025-06-22 0.006121 0.018015 0.047895 0.124502 0.308666 0.715281 1.653400
2025-06-29 0.005323 0.016364 0.045150 0.121468 0.310613 0.739700 1.754780
2025-07-06 0.004585 0.014719 0.042140 0.117296 0.309261 0.756531 1.841013
2025-07-13 0.004222 0.014090 0.041681 0.119559 0.323830 0.811073 2.018247
2025-07-20 0.003844 0.013333 0.040752 0.120443 0.335050 0.858964 2.184936
2025-07-27 0.003495 0.012595 0.039754 0.120987 0.345452 0.905974 2.354291
2025-08-03 0.003222 0.012046 0.039208 0.122710 0.359175 0.962490 2.552289
2025-08-10 0.003051 0.011806 0.039545 0.127013 0.380401 1.039844 2.809260